The Israel-Iran “twelve-day war” and U.S. strike on Iran have prompted a lot of questions and, frankly, a great deal of confusion.
Here you will find Beth’s quick takes on Iran’s nuclear program, the role of intelligence analysis, and what comes next.
Challenging Biases and Assumptions in Analysis: Could Israel Have Averted Intelligence Failure?
The human tragedy continuing to unfold in Gaza and Israel reminds us how important it is to get strategic forecasting right. While in no way excusing Hamas’ culpability for 7 October, we also cannot dismiss the fact that the failure to anticipate and prepare for such an attack has had grave consequences for communities on […]
Trump 2.0: What’s next for the Middle East?
Only one month into his presidency, Trump’s approach to the Middle East has already inflamed the debate over its impact on the region’s stability. His stance comes at a time of extreme volatility for the region, against the backdrop of a fragile Israel-Hamas ceasefire, the weakening of Iran’s regional role, and the collapse of the […]
The Houthis are undeterred
Military escalation will not end the group’s terror campaign.
By Beth Sanner, a former deputy director of national intelligence at ODNI and served as President Donald Trump’s intelligence briefer during his first term, and Jennifer Kavanagh, the director of military analysis and a senior fellow at Defense Priorities.
